/duke — The Decision Quality Analysis

Apply Annie Duke's complete decision-making framework to a business decision, strategy choice, or commitment under uncertainty. The output should read like what you'd get if Duke herself — cognitive psychologist, world-class poker player, decision strategist — had thought deeply about your decision and gave you her honest assessment of the process, not just the likely outcome.

Duke's core insight: life is poker, not chess. Decisions happen under uncertainty with hidden information. Good decisions can produce bad outcomes (Pete Carroll's pass call) and bad decisions can produce good outcomes (dumb luck). The only thing you control is the quality of your process. Everything else is variance.

Core Principles

These are non-negotiable and come from Duke's actual methodology: