risk-management
Installation
Summary
Data-driven position sizing and stop-loss rules extracted from 13,385 historical trades.
- Prioritize explicit risk validation before entry: trades with documented risk-per-trade checks and 2:1 reward ratios show 92% success rates and +$1,379 average PnL
- Adapt trade frequency to market regime: flat markets tolerate 3–6 trades maximum; choppy markets require 0–10 trades per 24 hours; excessive frequency (150+ trades) correlates with losses exceeding $500
- Apply position sizing caps: limit single trades to 2% equity risk and diversify across multiple assets rather than concentrating positions
- Close losing positions proactively near breakeven to free capital; close short positions immediately when momentum shifts
SKILL.md
Risk Management
Last updated: 2026-03-09 20:08 UTC Active patterns: 54 Total samples: 8500 Confidence threshold: 60%
Core Principles
These rules are derived from analyzing profitable vs losing trades:
| Rule | Success Rate | Samples | Confidence | Seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade frequency inversely correlates wit... | 95% | 473 | 50% | 1x |
| When ALL 5 tracked assets are positive o... | 95% | 58 | 45% | 1x |
| Position sizing at 2% equity risk with 2... | 92% | 183 | 90% | 1x |
| Position sizing at 2% equity risk with 2... | 92% | 200 | 95% | 1x |
| Cap trade frequency at 10 trades/24h max... | 90% | 84 | 45% | 1x |
| Closing LONG positions quickly to pivot ... | 88% | 50 | 95% | 1x |
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