Skill: ib_trade-osint

Purpose

This skill implements a fully automated, trading-specific Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) cycle. It transforms raw public information into actionable, trade-relevant intelligence by prioritizing recency, source authority, and probable market impact.

Core Mandates

Recency First: Prioritize information from the last 24–48 hours. Max window is 14 days.
PRIO-A Dominance: Official releases, news wires, and primary market-moving sources (PRIO A) must be checked first before moving to lower-priority discovery (PRIO B, C, D).
No Trade Without Catalyst: Do not recommend trades based on noise. Only high-impact, corroborated catalysts survive the prefilter.
Adversarial Interrogation: Treat every signal as a hypothesis. Corroborate across independent sources before confirming a "high impact" score.

1. The Intelligence Cycle

The cycle consists of six continuous phases:

Planning: Define the objective (e.g., "Identify AI supply chain shocks in the next 72h").
Collection: 70% controlled (user-curated) / 30% open discovery.
Processing: Cleaning, normalization, deduplication, and entity extraction (tickers, sectors, regions).
Evaluation: Apply the 4x4 Priority x Impact Matrix.
Analysis: Identify first/second-order causal chains and directional (Bullish/Bearish) implications.
Dissemination: Produce machine-readable intelligence candidates for the Analysis skill.