Prediction Market Oracle Research

Use this skill when prediction markets are being considered as a data source, forecasting input, oracle-like signal, or decision-intelligence layer.

Guardrails

• Do not treat market prices as objective truth.
• Do not provide investment advice or trading recommendations.
• Separate venue mechanics, liquidity, incentives, and resolution rules from the implied signal.
• Call out manipulation, thin liquidity, stale markets, and ambiguous outcomes.
• For on-chain or execution-linked systems, run llm-trading-agent-security before granting any write authority.

Research Workflow