opportunity
Installation
SKILL.md
Opportunity Finder - Complete API Reference
Discover and execute cross-platform arbitrage opportunities across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, and Drift.
Based on arXiv:2508.03474 which found $40M+ in realized arbitrage on Polymarket.
Opportunity Types
| Type | Description | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Internal | YES + NO < $1 on same platform | Buy both for guaranteed profit |
| Cross-Platform | Same market priced differently | Buy low on A, sell high on B |
| Combinatorial | Logical violations (P(A) > P(B) when A implies B) | Trump > Republican |
| Edge | Market vs external model (538, polls) | Market 45%, model 52% |