Scenario War Room

Tier: POWERFUL Category: C-Level Advisory Tags: scenario planning, war room, risk modeling, cascade effects, contingency planning, pre-mortem, crisis simulation

Overview

The Scenario War Room models cascading what-if scenarios across all business functions. Not single-assumption stress tests -- compound adversity that shows how one problem creates the next, and where the cascade can be interrupted. Every scenario produces concrete hedges with costs, owners, and deadlines.

When to Use

• A major risk has probability above 15% and impact above 20% of ARR
• Two or more threats could plausibly co-occur
• A strategic decision has significant downside if wrong
• Board or investors are asking "what's the worst case?"
• Pre-mortem before a major commitment (fundraise, acquisition, market entry)
• Quarterly risk review for leadership team