rfs-empirical-design
Installation
SKILL.md
Empirical & Structural Design (rfs-empirical-design)
When to trigger
- The identification strategy is chosen but sample, variables, and estimator are unsettled
- You must decide between panel FE, Fama–MacBeth, GMM, or a structural estimator
- Portfolio sorts / factor construction choices feel arbitrary
- Measurement of the key variable is contestable (proxy validity)
- A referee will ask "why this sample / this window / this proxy?"
Design decisions that make or break an RFS empirical paper
RFS publishes design-defining empirical templates referees will hold you to — e.g., the q-factor construction in Hou, Xue, and Zhang (2015) "Digesting Anomalies" (RFS 28(3)) and the variance-risk-premium measure in Bollerslev, Tauchen, and Zhou (2009) (RFS 22(11)). Two RFS-specific pressures sharpen every choice below: (1) the public code-release condition means every filter and construction step must be reproducible by a stranger, not just described; (2) the Registered Reports option means a design can be locked at Stage 1, so pre-specify wherever you can.
1. Sample construction
- State the universe, the time span, and every filter, with the resulting N at each step (a sample-attrition table).
- Justify the start/end dates by data availability or regime, not convenience.
- Handle survivorship, look-ahead, and backfill bias explicitly (CRSP/Compustat merge timing, delisting returns, point-in-time fundamentals).
- Winsorize vs. trim: state the rule (e.g., 1%/99%) and apply it consistently.