Ladder Expected Value (rt-ladder-ev)

rt-journal-match returns a shortlist and an order. This answers the question that order implies but never states: what does that sequence cost?

Authors compare venues one at a time — is this one worth a shot? — and in isolation the answer is almost always yes. The cost only appears in the sequence, and it is a trade between months and placement probability that nothing else in this repository made visible, so it was settled by optimism.

The size of the trade is whatever your inputs say it is; the point of the tool is that you find out before spending the months rather than after. In the worked example, one reach rung costs about four and a half months and buys about four points of placement probability — and the sensitivity band shows the four points are not distinguishable from zero while the four months are. That shape of answer, rather than a winner, is the usual output.

When to trigger