ria-position-sizing-kelly

Installation
SKILL.md

RIA — Position Sizing & Concentration Discipline

Industry front door for expected-value-and-kelly. Adds domain triggers, example, packs only. Parent Process unchanged. Not investment advice. Educational framework; apply within IPS and suitability.

Activate when: sizing a single-name or thematic position; a client with concentrated stock; setting max-position/rebalancing bands; "how much of the portfolio should this be?" Do NOT activate when: broad index allocation already governed by the IPS.

Why this variant

The parent expected-value-and-kelly sizes repeated positive-edge bets to maximize long-run growth without ruin. For an RIA, the discipline is inverted toward survival: fractional-Kelly thinking caps concentration so no single position can impair the client's plan.

Domain inputs → parent's Process

  • Establish the edge is real and repeatable before sizing anything.
  • Use fractional Kelly (e.g. ¼–½) — full Kelly is too volatile for client capital.
  • Bound by IPS max-position and drawdown tolerance; the smaller of Kelly-implied and IPS cap wins.
  • Treat concentrated legacy stock as an over-sized position to unwind on a tax-aware schedule.
Installs
2
GitHub Stars
10
First Seen
Jul 9, 2026
ria-position-sizing-kelly — deciqai/knowledge-skills