Dip Tranches Strategy

A disciplined framework for deploying a cash reserve into broad-market US equity index ETFs (VOO, IVV, SPLG/SPYM, SPY) during market drawdowns. The goal is to avoid the two failure modes most retail investors fall into: (1) firing all dip-buying cash at the first -5% pullback and having nothing left when -25% arrives, and (2) sitting in cash forever waiting for a crash that doesn't come.

⛔ CRYPTO ASSETS — different process, mandatory data step

This skill's % drawdown tiers are calibrated for S&P 500 ETFs (typical drawdown: -5% to -35%). Do NOT apply them directly to crypto, where -50% to -80% drawdowns are routine and support zones are structural, not purely % based.

For any crypto "when/where to buy" question, the mandatory sequence is:

1. Pull OHLCV first. Before naming any dollar level, call data_get_ohlcv for 210 weekly bars. No exceptions.
2. Count price concentration. Bucket weekly closes into $5k-$10k ranges. A level with ≥8 weekly closes is structural support; <4 closes is just a visit.
3. Cross-check on-chain. The 200wMA (already computed by crypto-advisor) is the long-term cost-basis floor. The realized price (~MVRV=1) is where average holder bought. Levels near those matter; arbitrary round numbers do not.
4. Name only data-backed levels. Every price level set in a mkt alert --reason must cite the specific evidence: "14 weekly closes in $60k–$65k range" or "200wMA $62,640". Never "strong support zone" without data.

⛔ Hard rule: If you cannot identify a level from steps 1–3, do NOT set a mkt alert with a price. Set an alert on a data-verified level or do not set one at all. Fabricated support levels in alerts are worse than no alert — they create false confidence.

Mandatory framing