Bayesian Intrinsic Growth Valuation

Core Principle

Do not classify company news as simply bullish or bearish. Translate every company-specific data point into a probability update for future 3-5 year revenue growth, margin, TAM, market share, valuation multiple, and market sentiment.

The goal is to estimate the company's true intrinsic growth speed and compare it with the growth already implied by the current market value.

Treat outputs as research hypotheses, not personalized investment advice. Verify current market cap, price, revenue, margins, filings, guidance, peer multiples, and news from reliable current sources before making time-sensitive claims.

Required Inputs

Use whatever the user provides, and clearly mark missing variables that require verification: