hive-prediction-markets: Prediction Markets

Discover and analyze Polymarket prediction markets with prices, order books, odds history, and wallet positions and trades, always framed as market-implied odds rather than truth. Polymarket's Gamma, CLOB, and Data APIs are keyless, so these tools work on the keyless lane. Kalshi is not covered: its developer agreement requires a data license Hive does not hold, so answer Kalshi questions from Polymarket where a matching market exists and say plainly that the Kalshi side is unavailable.

Task toolset and identifiers

Toolset: prediction_markets. Read hive://toolsets/prediction_markets before execution; it is authoritative for the current output schema, material-call budget, phases, fallback condition, and stop conditions.