Supply-Chain Bottleneck Hunter

Decompose a super-trend (user-specified, e.g. "AI infrastructure", "energy transition") into its physical supply chain and hunt for bottleneck-arbitrage opportunities.

Core Idea

Don't ask "which AI stock to buy" — ask "if this trend keeps expanding, which link runs out first?"

Traditional research chases leaders and known tracks. This skill inverts: start from the choke points of the physical supply chain and find companies nobody notices but that the whole industry must wait on when they run short.

The edge: Layer-1 bottlenecks (GPU, HBM, power) are already priced in. The real alpha is in Layer 2 and Layer 3 — optical modules, lasers, InP substrates, SOI wafers, epitaxy equipment, wafer-level test, IC substrates, specialty fiberglass.

Step 1: Super-Trend Confirmation

Trend Filter Criteria