private-company-research
Installation
SKILL.md
Private-Company Research: Multi-Lens Deep Framework
Deep research on an unlisted company (e.g. Ant Group, ByteDance, SpaceX, Stripe).
Ultimate goal: under information scarcity, recover the company's true value — not the market valuation, but what the business is actually worth.
Framework Characteristics
Private vs public research: no standardized financials (multi-source patchwork + cross-validation); few valuation anchors (funding rounds, comparables, scenarios); large information asymmetry ("jigsaw" research); uncertain exit path (IPO / M&A / secondary).
AI Research Bias Self-Check (core premise)
Private companies are where AI bias is worst. Watch for:
- False conservatism — with little data, AI gives conservative/vague conclusions, but scarce data ≠ bad company.
- False precision — to fill the template, AI disguises "reasonable guess" as "sourced analysis".
- Comparables trap — forcing a public-comp overlay inherits public-market logic and misses private-specific value.
- Survivorship bias — what's searchable online is mostly company-propagated good news.