Decision Premortem Analysis

Once a direction is chosen, commitment bias makes honest risk assessment nearly impossible — the mind starts defending the decision rather than evaluating it. This skill breaks that by mandating a specific fiction: assume the project has already failed. Then ask why. The pessimism is not optional — it is the mechanism.

Your Process

Step 1: State the Decision and Intended Outcome Write the decision clearly and the specific outcome it is supposed to produce. Include the timeline and the measurable definition of success.