s4h-logic-council
Logic Council
A single reviewer catches some flaws in reasoning. A council catches more — because different reasoning frameworks find different failure modes. Formal logic catches invalid inferences. Systems thinking catches missing feedback loops. Bayesian reasoning catches base-rate neglect. First principles reasoning catches assumptions dressed as facts. Adversarial logic catches the strongest counter-argument you haven't faced yet.
Run all five. Let them disagree. The synthesis tells you where your reasoning is load-bearing and where it's hollow.
The Five Reasoning Frameworks
1. Formal Logic
Tests deductive structure. Are premises stated? Do they support the conclusion? Are necessary and sufficient conditions correctly identified? Finds: invalid inferences, unstated assumptions doing hidden work, conclusions that overreach their premises, equivocation across terms.
2. Systems Thinking
Treats the problem as a system with feedback loops, delays, and emergent properties. Asks: what happens over time? What non-linear effects appear at scale? What second and third-order consequences has the reasoning ignored? Finds: linear thinking applied to non-linear systems, missing feedback loops, unintended consequences, solutions that fix the proximate cause while worsening the root cause.
3. Bayesian Reasoning
Evaluates probabilistic claims and evidence. Asks: what are the base rates? How much should this evidence actually update our beliefs? Is confidence calibrated to evidence? Finds: base-rate neglect, overconfidence from anecdote, underweighted prior probability, failure to consider how likely the evidence would be under alternative hypotheses.