Scenario Planning
Installation
SKILL.md
Scenario Planning & Sensitivity Analysis
Build rigorous base/bull/bear scenarios with probability-weighted expected values, trigger identification, financial impact quantification, and strategic response planning per scenario.
Required Inputs
| Input | Description | Required? |
|---|---|---|
| Business/project description | What is being modeled | Yes |
| Key decision | The strategic decision these scenarios inform | Yes |
| Time horizon | Projection period (e.g., 1-year, 3-year, 5-year) | Yes |
| Key variables | Revenue drivers, cost drivers, market factors | Yes |
| Base case assumptions | Current best estimates | Yes |
| Historical data | Past performance data for calibration | Recommended |
| Industry benchmarks | Peer/industry performance ranges | Recommended |
| Risk factors | Known threats and uncertainties | Recommended |
| Financial model | Existing P&L, cash flow, or valuation model | If available |