保守≠传统 / 独立思考

R — 原文 (Reading)

"You will not be right simply because a large number of people momentarily agree with you. You will not be right simply because important people agree with you." (1961) "Neither a conventional nor an unconventional approach, per se, is conservative." (1965)

I — 方法论骨架

真正的保守 = 知识 + 理性，而非从众：

• 常规做法不等于保守做法
• 非常规做法也不等于不保守
• 正确的标准：你的假设对不对？事实对不对？推理对不对？
• "公开意见调查不能替代思考"——多数人同意不增加正确性
• CEO误导公众最终会误导自己——诚实是保守的基础

A1 — 书中的应用