diffusion-release-tracking
Installation
SKILL.md
Diffusion Release Tracking
Use diffusion theory to interpret how different adopter groups respond. Use release engineering and product evidence to control exposure. Do not turn Rogers' population categories into universal rollout percentages or automatic go/no-go gates.
Keep Two Models Separate
Rogers' classic categories describe an analytical distribution of adopters:
| Category | Approximate share in the model | Typical behavior |
|---|---|---|
| Innovators | 2.5% | tolerate uncertainty and experiment |
| Early adopters | 13.5% | seek strategic advantage and influence others |
| Early majority | 34% | want evidence, compatibility, and lower risk |
| Late majority | 34% | adopt under social, economic, or operational pressure |
| Laggards | 16% | prefer established practice and may have valid constraints |
These percentages are not instructions to expose exactly that share of users. A rollout cohort is an operational control selected from system risk, sample size, customer commitments, and the ability to detect and reverse harm.