chain-estimation-decision-storytelling
Chain Estimation → Decision → Storytelling
Table of Contents
Three phases: Estimation (quantify uncertain variables with ranges and probabilities), Decision (apply expected value or scoring to identify best option), Storytelling (package analysis into compelling narrative for stakeholders).
Quick Example:
# Should we build custom analytics or buy a SaaS tool?
## Estimation
Build custom: $200k-$400k dev cost (60% likely $300k), $50k/year maintenance
Buy SaaS: $120k/year subscription, $20k implementation
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