actuarial-risk-modeling
Installation
SKILL.md
Actuarial and Financial Risk Modeling
Overview
Apply statistical modeling to uncertain outcomes where distributional assumptions, exposure, dependence, tail behavior, calibration, and decision consequences matter. The skill is methodology-first: it teaches model selection and evidence, not a particular library or rating formula.
When to Use
Load this skill when the task involves:
- insurance pricing, claims, reserving, solvency, risk classification, or experience rating;
- claim frequency, severity, pure premium, medical expenditure, loss, or event-time outcomes;
- linear, generalized linear, two-part, count, survival, panel, longitudinal, or tail models;
- financial returns, volatility, portfolio loss, risk measures, or scenario output;
- calibration, forecast evaluation, backtesting, model comparison, or assumption diagnosis;
- explaining model results, uncertainty, limitations, or use controls to decision-makers.