Assumption Audit

Every plan sits on a stack of assumptions, and the dangerous ones are invisible — you don't question what you don't notice you believe. This drags them into the light, ranks them by how much weight they carry, and flips the load-bearing ones to see which single wrong assumption would collapse the whole thing. Then it tells you the cheapest way to check that one before you bet on it.

What This Skill Produces

• The assumption list — the unstated beliefs your plan/conclusion depends on, including the ones you didn't realize you were making
• Load-bearing ranking — which assumptions, if wrong, barely matter vs. which would collapse everything
• The flip test — for the critical ones, what actually happens if they're false
• The cheap check — the fastest, lowest-cost way to test the riskiest assumption before committing

Required Inputs

Ask for these if not provided:

• The plan, belief, or conclusion — what you want audited
• Your reasoning — how you got there (reveals the assumptions)
• What's at stake — so we know how hard to test
• What you're treating as certain — the beliefs you're most confident in (often the riskiest)