Assumption Bounty

Every plan is a stack of beliefs wearing a costume of facts. Most die from an assumption nobody wrote down — because unwritten assumptions can't be tested, assigned, or noticed when they quietly become false. The bounty hunt pays by the find: every hidden belief extracted, priced, and ranked by (cost if wrong) ÷ (cost to test).

Required Inputs

• The document — plan, model, PRD, forecast, strategy. Spreadsheet-backed documents: include the key hardcoded numbers; each one is an assumption in a trench coat.
• Optional: which assumptions the team already knows about — the bounty only pays for hidden ones, and knowing the acknowledged list sharpens the hunt.

Where Assumptions Hide

• In verbs: "users will migrate" (will they?), "the team can absorb" (can it?)
• In adjectives: "conservative estimate", "simple integration", "standard terms"
• In silence: what the document never mentions — pricing pages that assume no competitor response, hiring plans that assume no attrition
• In hardcoded numbers: every constant in the model (conversion 3%, CAC $400) is a belief with a confidence interval nobody stated
• In the past tense: "as we saw in the pilot" — assuming the pilot generalises
• In org charts: "marketing will drive awareness" assumes a team's priorities that were never negotiated

Output Format