Conjecture Cascade

Goal: Cover a bounded target with many small directed probes so that what is broken, false, missing, or unexplored becomes visible — with proof or yield, not vibes.

Success means:

• The target scope is explicit.
• Every selected lens receives a real pass.
• Every probe closes with a status and its supporting evidence or yield.
• Confirmed findings and surprises appear before lower-value notes.

Stop when: every lens and probe has a status, every confirmed finding has evidence, every fertile direction has captured yield, and the final report identifies findings, residual risks, and incomplete checks.

Core Idea

A cascade sends many small probes through a target from deliberately different directions. A probe is one shot along one lens (an aimed direction of attention). Lenses come from prebuilt packs or are derived fresh with direction operators. Every probe closes with a status.

Two closure regimes exist:

• Falsify mode — probes are conjectures: testable claims closed against evidence.
• Explore mode — probes are directional questions closed on yield: the distinct material they produce.