Learning from outcomes

Experience does not automatically produce judgment. Without a written prediction and a scoring step, a review produces a story in which the good outcomes were foreseen and the bad ones were unforeseeable. That story feels like learning and teaches nothing.

Three things make a review compound:

1. Score the predictions, not the outcomes.
2. Assign credit across time, because results arrive long after the decisions that caused them.
3. Replay old decisions deliberately, because recent experience otherwise overwrites older lessons entirely.

Workflow