Progressive Estimation

Estimate AI-assisted and hybrid human+agent development work using three-point estimates, stated uncertainty assumptions and calibration feedback loops.

Overview

Progressive Estimation adapts to your team's working mode — human-only, hybrid, or agent-first — choosing explicit assumptions for each. Estimates remain uncertain and require local calibration.

When to Use This Skill

• Estimating development tasks where AI agents handle part of the work
• Sprint planning with hybrid human+agent teams
• Batch sizing a backlog (handles 5 or 500 issues)
• Staffing and capacity planning with agent multipliers
• Release date forecasting with confidence intervals

How It Works