Kalshi ETH Gas Correlation Trader

This is a template. The default signal uses gas price regimes as a directional indicator -- remix it with live Etherscan gas API, EIP-1559 base fee tracking, or L2 activity metrics. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

High on-chain gas prices indicate strong demand for Ethereum block space (DeFi activity, NFT mints, token launches). This demand correlates positively with ETH price. This skill classifies gas into regimes and applies a directional bias to ETH price market probabilities.

Key advantages:

• Leading indicator -- gas spikes often precede price moves
• On-chain verifiable -- gas data is public and real-time
• Regime-based -- avoids noise by classifying into discrete regimes

Signal Logic

Gas Regime Model