48h Equity Strike Trader

This is a template. The default signal is implied-CDF violation detection across equity price-threshold markets -- remix it with additional tickers, curve-fitting models, or cross-venue price feeds. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, curve construction, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Polymarket lists equity strike-ladder markets analogous to options chains:

• "Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week above $152?" = 7%
• "Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week above $153?" = 23.5% <-- VIOLATION!
• "Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week above $154?" = 18.5%
• "Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week above $370?" = 5%
• Tesla delivery bins: <350k=46%, 350-375k=47.5%, 375-400k=13.5%

Retail trades each market as an isolated bet. But together, these markets form an implied probability distribution curve across strike levels.

This skill reconstructs that curve and finds where it is mathematically broken.