polymarket-48h-sports-line-curve-trader
Installation
SKILL.md
48h Sports Line Curve Trader
This is a template. The default signal is implied O/U curve violation detection across sports markets -- remix it with additional sports, line types, or cross-venue feeds. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, curve construction, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.
Strategy Overview
Polymarket lists multiple over/under lines for the same sporting event:
- "Team A vs Team B O/U 5.5" = 50%
- "Team A vs Team B O/U 6.5" = 46%
- "Team A vs Team B O/U 7.5" = 29%
Retail trades each market as an isolated bet. But together, these markets form an implied probability curve -- higher totals must always be less likely for the OVER side.
This skill reconstructs that curve and finds where it is mathematically broken.