Bundle -- CS2 Maps BO3 Arbitrage Trader

This is a template. The default signal detects inconsistencies between individual CS2 map winner probabilities and the BO3 match winner market -- remix it with team Elo ratings, map pool veto data, or live scoreboard feeds. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, bundle construction, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

CS2 matches on Polymarket list separate markets for each map winner and the overall BO3 winner:

• "Counter-Strike: NAVI vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner" = 55% (NAVI)
• "Counter-Strike: NAVI vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner" = 60% (NAVI)
• "Counter-Strike: NAVI vs FaZe - Map 3 Winner" = 50% (NAVI)
• "Counter-Strike: NAVI vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Katowice" = 58% (NAVI)

The individual map probabilities constrain the BO3 probability via the binomial model. When they don't match, the BO3 market is mispriced.

Edge