Bundle -- Dota 2 BO3 Structure Trader

This is a template. The default signal is structural inconsistency detection between BO3 winner, game winner, and handicap markets -- remix it with Elo ratings, draft data, or live match feeds. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, match grouping, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Dota 2 BO3 matches spawn multiple related markets on Polymarket: the overall BO3 winner, individual Game 1/2/3 winners, and game handicap lines (-1.5 / +1.5). These markets must be structurally consistent -- the BO3 win probability is a mathematical function of the individual game probabilities. When they diverge, it is pure structural arbitrage.

Example: If P(Team A wins Game 1) = 60% and P(Team A wins Game 2) = 55%, then P(Team A wins BO3) should be approximately 70%. If the BO3 market prices Team A at 55%, it is underpriced by 15%.

Edge

Each market in a Dota 2 BO3 bundle is priced by its own independent order book. Retail participants trade each market in isolation -- they bet on "Team A wins Game 1" without considering how that price constrains the BO3 winner or handicap markets. Professional sportsbooks enforce consistency across related lines; Polymarket does not. The result is persistent structural inconsistencies between mathematically linked markets.

Signal Logic