Celebrity & Social Media Trader

This is a template. The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with conviction-based sizing and celebrity_bias() — remix it with the data sources listed below. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Celebrity markets look chaotic but split cleanly into two camps: data-trackable (subscriber growth rates, tweet cadence, athletic records) and emotionally-driven (fan loyalty, feuds, relationships). The data-trackable ones have genuine structural edges. The emotional ones are traps for anyone who doesn't understand that retail here is trading feelings, not probability.

The single most important insight in this domain: megastar fan bases are the worst market makers on Polymarket. They overcrowd YES on anything involving their idol, creating systematic NO edges that the bias function captures.

Signal Logic

Default Signal: Conviction-Based Sizing with Celebrity Bias