skills/skills.volces.com/polymarket-climate-trader

polymarket-climate-trader

Installation
SKILL.md

Climate & Weather Trader

This is a template.
The default signal is keyword discovery + NOAA/weather API data alignment — remix it with ForecastEx climate oracle feeds, satellite NDVI data for agriculture, or ensemble weather model outputs.
The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Climate prediction markets are one of the fastest-growing underserved categories. Polymarket has 151+ active climate markets but most are basic. This skill captures alpha on:

  • Temperature extremes — record highs, heatwaves, frost events
  • Natural catastrophes — hurricane counts, earthquake magnitudes, wildfire acreage
  • Climate milestones — CO2 ppm thresholds, Arctic sea ice minimums
  • Agricultural impacts — wheat yields, drought-driven crop failures, water allocations

Climate markets are uniquely suited for quantitative trading: the data sources are public, verifiable, and highly structured (NOAA, ECMWF, NASA).

Signal Logic

Installs
2
First Seen
Apr 23, 2026