Copy Size Conviction Trader

This is a template. The default signal uses portfolio concentration as a proxy for whale conviction. When a top trader commits a large fraction of their capital to a single market, that is a stronger signal than raw position size or trade count. The skill handles all plumbing (leaderboard scraping, activity reconstruction, concentration analysis, signal boosting, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha by tuning concentration thresholds.

Strategy Overview

Not all whale positions are equal. A trader who puts $100K into a market might be spreading $5M across 50 markets (low conviction) or concentrating $300K total into 3 markets (high conviction). This skill distinguishes between the two.

1. Discover top wallets from the predicting.top leaderboard
2. Reconstruct each wallet's portfolio from on-chain trade activity
3. Measure portfolio concentration: position_cost / total_portfolio_cost per market
4. Filter positions where concentration exceeds MIN_CONCENTRATION threshold
5. Boost trade sizing proportional to whale conviction level
6. Validate every trade against conviction-based YES/NO threshold bands

The Edge: Concentration as Conviction