Food & Agriculture Trader

This is a template. The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with conviction-based sizing and harvest_cycle_bias() — remix it with the data sources listed below. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Agricultural markets are driven by hard data (USDA reports, satellite crop monitoring) but traded by retail participants who follow headlines. This skill exploits two structural edges without any external API:

1. WASDE & crop calendar timing — Information asymmetry between professional futures traders and Polymarket retail peaks around USDA WASDE release months and planting windows. Trading these windows captures the pro vs retail pricing gap before it closes.
2. Commodity type confidence — Cocoa and coffee (geographically concentrated supply) are dramatically more front-runnable than drought headlines (already crowded) or famine narratives (too complex to time).

Signal Logic

Default Signal: Conviction-Based Sizing with Harvest Cycle Bias