Macro Inflation Chain Trader

This is a template. The default signal chains commodity pressure through rate expectations to equity markets -- remix it with real-time CPI data feeds, Fed funds futures, or Treasury yield curve signals. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, classification, chain logic, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Most Polymarket traders analyze markets in isolation: oil markets, Fed markets, or equity markets separately. But macro economics is a chain reaction:

1. Oil/commodity prices rise -- input costs increase across the economy
2. Inflation expectations rise -- the Fed holds or hikes rates instead of cutting
3. Rate-sensitive equities should fall -- higher rates compress equity valuations

This skill monitors all three layers simultaneously and trades the divergence when one layer hasn't caught up to the others.

Signal Logic

Step 1: Classify Markets