Weather-Commodity Trader

This is a template. The default signal maps extreme weather readings to commodity market mispricings -- remix it with NOAA API data, satellite crop imagery, or energy grid load forecasts. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Extreme weather is a leading indicator for commodity disruption, but the transmission from weather prediction markets to commodity prediction markets is slow. Weather specialists trade temperature markets. Commodity traders watch OPEC and inventory reports. Few participants systematically connect the two.

This skill bridges that gap:

1. Scan Polymarket temperature/weather markets for stress signals
2. Compute weather stress: are temperatures showing extremes that imply energy or crop disruption?
3. Check commodity markets: have they already priced in the weather stress?
4. Trade commodity markets that are lagging behind the weather signal

Edge Thesis