skills/skills.volces.com/polymarket-real-estate-trader

polymarket-real-estate-trader

Installation
SKILL.md

Real Estate & Housing Trader

This is a template. The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with probability-extreme detection — remix it with the data sources listed in the Edge Thesis below. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Housing and Fed rate markets are priced by retail traders following mainstream media narratives. This skill exploits two structural edges without any external API:

  1. FOMC calendar timing — Rate markets diverge most from CME FedWatch in the weeks before a meeting. Trading the pre-meeting window captures the professional vs retail pricing gap.
  2. Market type confidence — Fed/rate decisions are professionally calibrated; crash/bubble markets are emotionally driven. Position sizing reflects this.

Signal Logic

Default Signal: Conviction-Based Sizing with Macro Cycle Bias

Installs
1
First Seen
Apr 23, 2026