skills/skills.volces.com/polymarket-sports-live-trader

polymarket-sports-live-trader

Installation
SKILL.md

Sports & Championships Trader

This is a template. The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with probability-extreme detection — remix it with the data sources listed in the Edge Thesis below. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Sports prediction markets are dominated by passionate fans who bet emotionally. This creates two structural edges this skill exploits without any external API:

  1. Fan loyalty dampening — Popular clubs (Real Madrid, Man City, Lakers) are systematically overpriced by emotional retail traders
  2. Sports calendar timing — Each sport has a defined peak season; trading in-season means better signal density

Signal Logic

Default Signal: Conviction-Based Sizing with Fan Bias + Calendar

Installs
1
First Seen
Apr 23, 2026