Whale Exit Fade Trader

Strategy

This skill monitors the top Polymarket wallets (via the predicting.top leaderboard) for coordinated exit events -- when multiple whales sell the same market within a configurable time window. When whale exits are detected, the skill fades the resulting panic by buying the dip.

Why it works

Whale exits create a predictable cascade:

1. Whale sells -- large position unwind pushes price down.
2. Retail panic -- smaller traders see the drop and panic-sell, amplifying the move.
3. Overshoot -- the combined selling pushes the market below fair value.
4. Reversion -- once the panic subsides, the market recovers toward its fundamental value.

The edge comes from distinguishing between "whales exiting for portfolio reasons" (liquidity, rebalancing, profit-taking) versus "whales exiting on new information." In most cases, coordinated whale exits are portfolio-driven, not information-driven, making the overshoot a reliable fade opportunity.

Signal Logic