Candle -- Doji Breakout Trader

This is a template. The default signal detects doji patterns in crypto 5-minute interval markets and trades the post-doji breakout using conviction-based sizing. The skill handles all the plumbing (interval parsing, doji detection, trend analysis, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

Polymarket lists 5-minute interval markets for BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP: "Will Bitcoin be Up or Down in the 10:50AM-10:55AM ET interval?" These resolve to YES (up) or NO (down) based on the actual price movement. A doji is a 5-minute interval where probability sits at 48-52% -- zero directional conviction. In candlestick analysis, a doji appearing after a clear directional trend (2-3 consecutive UP or DOWN intervals) signals indecision before a breakout. The next interval after the doji tends to break out strongly, continuing the pre-doji trend direction, because the underlying momentum has only paused -- not reversed.

Edge

Unlike a generic mean-reversion or momentum strategy, the doji breakout specifically targets the transition from indecision back to trend continuation. The edge arises because:

1. Doji = temporary pause, not reversal -- when a coin trends UP for 3 intervals then prints a doji (48-52%), retail participants read this as "the move is over" and price the next interval near 50%. But the underlying trend momentum typically resumes.
2. Market mispricing of continuation -- the post-doji interval is systematically underpriced for continuation because participants anchor on the doji's neutrality rather than the preceding trend.
3. Candlestick pattern validity -- doji-after-trend is one of the most robust patterns in technical analysis, documented across equities, forex, and crypto on multiple timeframes.
4. Bundle independence -- each 5-minute interval resolves independently; the doji's neutral price does not mechanically prevent the next interval from continuing the trend.

Signal Logic