prediction-outcome-recording
Installation
SKILL.md
Prediction Outcome Recording Pattern
Experiment Overview
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Date | 2024-12-29 |
| Goal | Complete the prediction lifecycle by recording outcomes when positions close |
| Environment | live_trader.py, prediction_metrics.py, db_manager.py |
| Status | Success |
Context
The system was logging predictions when positions opened but never recording outcomes when positions closed. This broke:
- Accuracy calculations (no outcomes to compare against)
- Model evaluation (can't measure prediction quality)
- Retraining decisions (no performance data)
Root cause: Predictions were being made and logged, but no code existed to update them with actual results.