causal-inference

Installation

SKILL.md

Causal Inference

A lightweight causal layer for predicting action outcomes, not by pattern-matching correlations, but by modeling interventions and counterfactuals.

Core Invariant

Every action must be representable as an explicit intervention on a causal model, with predicted effects + uncertainty + a falsifiable audit trail.

Plans must be causally valid, not just plausible.

When to Trigger

Trigger this skill on ANY high-level action, including but not limited to:

Domain	Actions to Log
Communication	Send email, send message, reply, follow-up, notification, mention
Calendar	Create/move/cancel meeting, set reminder, RSVP
Tasks	Create/complete/defer task, set priority, assign