thinkies-calibrate-confidence

Follow these steps:

1. Identify the claim

Target: $ARGUMENTS, else recent assertions in the current context.

2. Name confidence explicitly

State the certainty level in concrete terms, distinguishing components if it varies:

• "Very confident (90%+), because…"
• "Moderately confident (60–80%), because…"
• "Uncertain (40–60%), due to…"
• "Low confidence (below 40%), because…"

3. Inventory the evidence

What does the confidence rest on?