causal-paper-to-advice
Causal Paper to Advice
Turn a paper into an advice chain:
intervention → comparison → outcome → effect → boundaries → recommendation
Every link must be supported. A broken link weakens everything to its right.
Establish the claim
Read the paper itself, including the methods, tables or figures that support the main claim and the limitations. Use commentary, press releases and coverage only to locate or challenge the paper, never as substitutes for it.
State the claim in one sentence:
For population, changing exposure/intervention from counterfactual changes outcome over time horizon by effect estimate.
If any slot is missing, say so. Record whether the paper is peer-reviewed, a working paper, preprint, correspondence or other publication type; this affects confidence, not the result by itself.