signal-postmortem
Signal Postmortem
Overview
Signal Postmortem records and analyzes the outcomes of trading signals generated by the edge pipeline, screeners, and other skills. It compares predicted edge direction against 5-day and 20-day realized returns, categorizes outcomes (true positive, false positive, missed opportunity, regime mismatch), and generates feedback for edge-signal-aggregator weight adjustments and skill improvement backlog entries.
When to Use
- After a trade has been closed and you want to record the outcome
- When reviewing a batch of signals that have reached their holding period (5 or 20 days)
- To identify systematic false positive patterns from specific skills
- To generate feedback for edge-signal-aggregator weight calibration
- When building a skill improvement backlog from decision quality metrics
- For periodic (weekly/monthly) signal quality audits
Prerequisites
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