Yao Bayesian Skill

Use This Skill For

• structure a vague choice into hypothesis, time horizon, success metric, and actions
• set a prior, grade evidence, update posterior, compare action thresholds, and recommend next information
• start from incomplete input with a weak prior, then improve the judgment through multi-turn questioning
• export one synchronized Chinese-first markdown plus bilingual html report

Do Not Route Here

• Bayes theorem tutoring or homework-only calculations
• broad research or brainstorming with no explicit decision report
• final professional medical, legal, or investment advice

Default Workflow