Estimation

Estimate to expose uncertainty and trade-offs, not to pretend the future is certain.

Context

Estimation converts a task list into a planning signal the team can actually use. Good estimates make assumptions explicit, separate known work from uncertainty, and prevent schedules from quietly becoming fiction.

In Prodcraft, estimation follows task breakdown and should be informed by identified risks. The goal is calibrated planning, not false precision.

Inputs

• task-list -- The reviewed implementation slices to size.
• risk-register -- Known delivery, integration, and scope risks that should affect confidence or contingency.

Process

Step 1: Normalize the Unit of Estimation