calibrate-adversarial-confidence

Purpose

Track confidence in competing claims or roles across adversarial rounds and update only when evidence or argument quality warrants it.

Input contract

required: [round_records, competing_claims, update_rule]
optional: [prior_confidence, calibration_history]
constraints: [every update cites evidence or argument-quality change]

Procedure

1. Record each round's claims, arguments, and evidence.
2. Apply the declared update rule and preserve dissent.
3. Mark escalation, continuation, termination, or saturation with rationale.

Output contract

produces: [confidence_trace, update_rationale, round_status, unresolved_dissent]
delta_fields: [findings, evidence_updates, uncertainties, decisions]

Quality gates