evaluate-scenario-impact

Purpose

Evaluate one fixed candidate, path, or portfolio under one explicit scenario.

Input contract

required: [candidate, scenario, evaluation_criteria]
optional: [baseline, metric_definitions, vulnerability_rules]
constraints: [criteria, units, and scenario assumptions remain fixed during evaluation]

Procedure

1. Instantiate the candidate under scenario assumptions.
2. Compute or qualitatively assess each declared criterion.
3. Identify tradeoffs, vulnerabilities, and failure triggers.
4. Return impact evidence and unresolved uncertainties.

If the impact estimate depends on uncertain drivers or parameter choices, consider assess-sensitivity as the next tactic.